OK, sorry, apparently I had relied on an insufficiently researched
German almanach which stated that the deal was closed in 1903 for the
duration of 99 years.

What it did not say, is that in 1934, the lease was renegotiated to
allow the land to revert to Cuban control only if abandoned or by
mutual consent. And that's not about to happen anytime soon!

Oh, well...

--- In BoundaryPoint@y..., "anton_zeilinger" <anton_zeilinger@h...>
wrote:

> Hi,
>
> > Leased sovereignty is very tenuous, as we now see in the case of

the

> > Czech Republic's leased exclave in the German harbor at Hamburg,

and

> > as we may yet see in the case of Guantanamo.
>
> Now that you bring it up, isn't the Guantanamo lease running out in
> 2002? What is going to happen? I don't believe Cuba has agreed to
> renewing the agreement, or has it?
>
> Castro would probably bring this before the International Court of
> Justice and would most probably win, because, well, the agreed-on
> time has run out! But then what? The U.S. won't give its base up -
> "Who cares about international law if it's not in our favour!" ...
> no, that's sarcasm, sorry ;-) - and Castro wouldn't be so stupid to
> enter forcefully. After that it would simply be illegally occupied
> Cuban territory, right?
>
> Can anyone shed a light on all these questions?
>
> Thanks a lot,
>
> AntonZ