Subject: aftjuz on google earth
Date: Sep 09, 2006 @ 20:20
Author: aletheia kallos (aletheia kallos <aletheiak@yahoo.com>)
Prev    Post in Topic    Next
Prev    Post in Time    Next


continuing to follow our borderbase google earth guide
to the next tripoint on the tour
once again we are led specifically to the thalweg by
the old afsu treaty
& once again we have a telling soviet topo too
http://sunsite.berkeley.edu:8085/tajikistan/100k/10-42-100.jpg
which reveals a strikingly similar situation to that
of the previous trijunction at afirtm

so it is groundhog day all over again
except here we have no reason to expect the dry
convergent might be marked

for it appears this sketchy soviet tajik uzbek
interrepublican boundary line hasnt even been formally
delimited by the successor states

so what you see of the borders on this map is likely
all you are going to get
even if you should go there in person
& moreover
the amu darya river & thalweg look far more erratic
than their hari rud counterparts seen at the previous
stop

so aftjuz is already looking still more difficult to
pin down than was its already well hedged prequel

& it would be argumentative to make a point of
disagreeing with jespers pushpin in this case
or with googles tripoint location projection either
for that matter
since it is just a matter of guessing the correct
channel & the correct place in that channel where the
true thalweg is actually racing today
past the dry convergent still coming in at the well
established angle

so i figure jesper & google & i each stand a roughly
equal chance of having guessed the correct channel at
least
from among the 3 choices shown by the satpic
if not also the correct part of that channel

& jesper is looking most golden because he is in the
channel nearest the bank where the thalweg was last
definitely seen & mapped
not more than 30 years ago
which is perhaps even the direct successor channel of
that channel
or it could be a new side channel entirely
for thats not at all clear

so here you have my no less wild guess than last time
but cleaving here to the depicted or presumptive
soviet location
just in case the thalweg has been relatively stable
amidst all the surrounding commotion
as sometimes happens
& also just because i can

this puts all 3 of us happily on nearly the same line
& makes all equally likely to be within a kilometer of
the truth

or perhaps we should enlarge the window of uncertainty
to a full mile in this case
insofar as this situation is looking a bit dicier than
the previous one

__________________________________________________
Do You Yahoo!?
Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around
http://mail.yahoo.com