Subject: Re: first complete try apparently confirms about 500 tripoints
Date: May 07, 2002 @ 21:08
Author: acroorca2002 ("acroorca2002" <orc@...>)
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okaay grant

thanx

& so evidently it is hard to actually say what a first complete try really is in this case



but it is great to know we are within a very few units of agreement





now about that tonga nz uncertainty &or wobble

i wonder if you mightnt actually have split the difference in some way at some point in your counts between the 342 & 346 probabilities

& mightnt thus have invented the 344 probability & its resultant 172 tripoints

which tho perhaps not representing anything real does at least strike a balance & a viable temporary median probability



anyway we could just assume some such thing or some other nonsuch thing has occurred at least until we have a better explanation



more below



--- In BoundaryPoint@y..., "granthutchison" <granthutchison@b...> wrote:

> Michael:

> > i have found your apparently most probable grand total of sea

> tripoints 342

> >

> > & likewise your apparently less probable totals of 344 & 346

> >

> > including some unknown nz & tonga vagaries

> The New Zealand and Tonga variants go together - either they have a

> maritime border (and two attendant tripoints with Everyone's Land) or

> they don't, and Everyone's Land is directly connected to the South

> Fiji Basin. So the count is either 346 or 342, giving 173 or 171 as

> the overall count after division by 2. Which, you're right, doesn't

> match the Everyone's Land list - somehow I've got one more tripoint

> in the EEZ boundaries list than in the Everyone's Land list.

>

> > so a preliminary question is whether you can easily explain this

> > slight wobble in the data

> And a preliminary answer is "No." I can only explain it after some

> difficulty! So I'll need to get back to you after I've waded through

> the data again.

> (One reason for uploading this stuff in preliminary form was the hope

> that someone would be able to spot some inconsistency that has eluded

> me for months.)



well perhaps we are on the trail of it now



> > so i am wondering

> >

> > can you or anyone confirm or adjust this total

> >

> > before we call it a first complete world class total try

> My current sums on the International Boundaries spreadsheet give 160

> dry, 159 wet and 173 with Everyone's Land, for a total of 492.



ok so lets assume all these numbers are accurate counts

for they might well be accurate at least until contradicted



& we may thus either add or not add the 11 de facto tripoints to this sum depending on taste

but again introducing an additional degree of uncertainty

since the spratly tripoint count is only bestguessed & still unconfirmed at 7

to produce a most probable but still rather soft de facto total of 503



m