oops
heres the summary i neglected to link
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/WO0507/S00109.htm
--- In BoundaryPoint@yahoogroups.com, aletheia kallos <aletheiak@y...> wrote:
> no need to subscribe to this tho it looks interesting
> https://ssl.tnr.com/p/docsub.mhtml?i=w050704&s=stavans070605
> for there is fresh word from the horses mouth himself
> http://www.counterpunch.org/marcos07142005.html
> & this recent summary of events leading up to the
> present state of general red alert
>
> tho controlling only a small fraction of a single
> mexican state
> http://www.mtnforum.org/resources/library/images/chiapasconflictmap.gif
> the so called zapatista movement looks like it has
> real legs
> & feet & shoes too
> so it is hard to predict how far it will go before
> recognition could occur
> & any new tripoint try would still be totally
> unwarranted at this point
> especially as the area of rebel control actually
> appears to be shrinking at the moment anyway
>
> yet i think the chiapas odds should be lowered now to
> 9 or even 8 to 1
> in acknowledgment of the impressive power & dignity &
> increasingly nonviolent & confident stance of the ezln
> secession
> even if it is impossible to guess the exact positions
> for the prospective new tripoints
> presumably cpgtmxn & cpgtmxs by name
> & perhaps more or less as indicated in the above map
> but highly subject to change before any de jure
> secession might ever happen
>
>
> in any case
> i would also give 4 to 1 odds against chiapas or any
> other new countries or tricountry points being born
> during the remainder of 2005
> since nothing really looks ripe enough to fall very
> soon yet
> & 3 to 1 against any by high noon on april fools 2006
> & 2 to 1 against any within a year of this post
> all calculated as irresistible loss leaders to at
> least excite some action
>
>
>
>
>
> __________________________________
> Yahoo! Mail for Mobile
> Take Yahoo! Mail with you! Check email on your mobile phone.
> http://mobile.yahoo.com/learn/mail