Subject: fresh tripoint creation intelligence report<br/>
Date: May 17, 2005 @ 17:46<br/>
Author: aletheia kallos (aletheia kallos &lt;aletheiak@...&gt;)<br/>
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<div id="ygrps-yiv-636348334">todays pinr intelligence<br/>
<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=300&language_id=1">http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=300&language_id=1</a><br/>
backed up by<br/>
<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=192">http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=192</a><br/>
strongly suggests a strategic american withdrawal from<br/>
both afghanistan & iraq is overdue & imminent<br/>
which isnt likely to fragment the hardy nonstate of<br/>
afghanistan<br/>
but most probably spells balkanization for iraq<br/>
into first kurdistan & perhaps turkmeneli<br/>
& soon thereafter into sunnistan & shiastan<br/>
but who knows which if either will still sit as iraq<br/>
at the united nations<br/>
etc etc<br/>
<br/>
so <br/>
altho the exact locations & timing & number of<br/>
potentially emergent world class tripoints remains<br/>
imponderable<br/>
i have adjusted my oddsgiving for next new seat at the<br/>
united nations as follows<br/>
<br/>
kurdistan 3 to 1<br/>
turkmeneli 7 to 1<br/>
all others 10 to 1<br/>
<br/>
& accordingly <br/>
if i had to guess at the first new exact tripointage<br/>
fallout<br/>
i would say the cleavages will occur along existing<br/>
provincial borders<br/>
<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/atlas_middle_east/iraq_divisions.jpg">http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/atlas_middle_east/iraq_divisions.jpg</a><br/>
so i am expecting iqirkd & iqkdsy to arise<br/>
simultaneously<br/>
where the southern borders of sulaymaniyah & ninawa<br/>
strike iran & syria respectively<br/>
tho i am studying this in more detail & may revise<br/>
these guess locations<br/>
<br/>
& if i had to guess at the exact moment of their<br/>
erection<br/>
i think <br/>
hmm<br/>
within 12 hours of<br/>
noon eastern standard time on the first business day<br/>
of 2006<br/>
<br/>
but who would give me what odds against that<br/>
<br/>
 <br/>
<br/>
<br/>
		<br/>
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