Subject: kurdistan feeling more oats today in new country tripoint derby
Date: Jul 21, 2005 @ 14:45
Author: aletheia kallos (aletheia kallos <aletheiak@...>)
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recent reports of kurdish developments in turkey as
well as syria & iran
topped by todays news of unprecedented iraqi kurdish
demands for territorial consolidation
almost clear down to baghdad province in fact
& yikes even beyond baghdad in the east
while deepening the disintegration of iraq
have precipitated a real crisis for the new tricountry
point pool oddsmakers

on the one hand
some version of an eventually independent kurdistan is
now looking more probable than ever
with odds against her first place showing
realistically falling to perhaps only 5 to 2 at this
juncture
from the previous peg here
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BoundaryPoint/message/17794

the great difficulty however is in predicting exactly
where the new tricountry points will fall
especially as the latest territorial demands do not
even appear to follow existing interprovincial borders


so kurdistan may be looking like an easy payout now
for a simple win
& quite a bargain at that if payment is made for any
eventual country of this name rather than for naming
her exact tripoint locations per se
as was originally envisioned
but at the same time
the utter improbability of nailing her entire
multifecta would at this point suggest something more
on the scale of a lottery sweeps than a simple horse
race

& 10000 to 1 in that case
or even 100000 to 1
might still not make a realistically attractive
offering

so for this game to be practically playable
it may be necessary to at least partly suspend the
tripoint requirement
& focus more instead on the simple acquisition of a
seat at the united nations

& i realize that would leave matters slightly off
kilter for a true multipointing society
so the entire oddsgiving situation is now under
intensive reconsideration
but all existing quotes for oats will still be honored
in the meantime


& you probably dont want to read these actual news
reports
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/20/AR2005072002396_pf.html
http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=15432
but they are what caused the revaluations

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