Subject: Re: more news from the great american separatist tripoint derby
Date: Jul 19, 2005 @ 18:51
Author: aletheiak ("aletheiak" <aletheiak@...>)
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continuing with recent analyses

> & watch for the bait & switch from la paz to santa
> cruz here
> http://narcosphere.narconews.com/story/2005/7/16/14743/4150
>
> the americans may build the security casita in la paz
> all right
> since thats most likely a diversionary tactic anyway
> but they must be racing like hell to santa cruz with
> the coup protection gear in time for the hopefully
> bloodless secession planned on the heels of the fixed
> independence referendum that is set there for august
> 12
> even as the american special forces inch up the
> putumayo from paraguay where they were last noticed
>
> so i will give no more than 2 to 1 on santa cruz now
> but 9 to 4 bargains on the 3 other eastern provinces
>
> it sure looks like the fix is on here
> so take advantage of these generous rates

further corroboration of the fix
http://www.axisoflogic.com/artman/publish/article_19182.shtml
with the important correction that the yanks arent inching but bounding up the putumayo

additional background on this unprecedented referendum & hi noon showdown august 12
http://www.axisoflogic.com/cgi-bin/exec/view.pl?archive=93&num=16393
http://www.axisoflogic.com/cgi-bin/exec/view.pl?archive=93&num=16155

in light of all which
santa cruz must become the strong odds on favorite at 3 to 2 now
& tarija & chuquisaca also need to be tweaked back
but are still a bargain at 9 to 5
while beni
being so far north
is still holding up at 2 to 1 for now
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/americas/bolivia_pol93.jpg

> & former front runner zulia
> having hardly even whinnied recently
> shows no further signs of making a run for the roses
> at this time
> & is holding steady at 7 to 2

but yikes
hugo has been very active & provocative today
http://news.google.com/news?
q=venezuela&num=20&hl=en&lr=&safe=off&client=safari&rls=en&sa=N&tab=wn
so i would call a cruceno style reaction in zulia a little more likely at 3 to 1 now


& meanwhile the smart money in chiapas is still playing the waiting game
http://www.narconews.com/Issue38/article1386.html
so no change in the morning line there
but please stand by