Subject: oddsmaking update for new tripoint sweeps
Date: Jun 14, 2005 @ 14:51
Author: aletheia kallos (aletheia kallos <aletheiak@...>)
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but neither analysis mentions the fact that the
national elections
which are constitutionally mandated for no later than
december
& probably cant happen sooner in any case
could easily be coopted by the santa cruz independence
referendum
which i have confirmed is scheduled for august 12
the main brake on the estimated odds now is the chance
that a number of other countries could still fall
apart sooner than bolivia
& thus
that some still unforeseeable dark horse tripoint
candidates could overtake the favorites in the home
stretch
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